Would al-Bashir Put an End to the War in Sudan or not that is the Question

Would al-Bashir Put an End to the War in Sudan or not that is the Question

By Mahmoud A. Suleiman

Note to the readers of the article

The reader shouldn’t believe that we are in this window in an attempt to cite the poetry of the famous English poet and novelist William Shakespeare in any way. Nevertheless, some racing thoughts occurred from the position where they have been trapped making me taking this approach in the opening of this article. There seems to be something in the air as we near the turn of the year 2016, which the winter chill can’t quite dispel!

The NCP regime President Omer Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir threatened and made an ultimatum of putting an end to rebellion by the end of December 2016 by force unless the rebels came endorsing and signing the outcomes of the National Dialogue; the rebel groups continue demanding justice and equality in power and wealth sharing in Sudan without marginalising any Sudanese community while the International Community keeps lip service based on intersecting interests of respective countries with the despotic entity in Khartoum. But the real question is what will move Sudan closer to lasting peace?! The answer abstains tight lipped! In other words, the answer to those questions remains under wraps of the eternal oblivion! Since that is that, who would put the bell around the Lion’s Neck, borrowing from the folklore Wisdom gleaned from traditional animal stories. Continue reading Would al-Bashir Put an End to the War in Sudan or not that is the Question

The Sudanese Crisis represents cumulative failures of corrupt criminal entity of the NCP

 

The Sudanese Crisis represents cumulative failures of corrupt criminal entity of the NCP

By Mahmoud A. Suleiman

They say there are sorts of scourges that make you laugh in spite of the feeling of grief and injustice which fills the breasts with a sigh. The regime of the NCP in Khartoum tried constantly blurring or bending of the facts about the miserable reality of the economic situation of the country by the unwelcome trotting of the genocidal criminal fugitive from the international justice Omer Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir to the Arab Gulf States for begging humiliating the dignity of the people of Sudan. Political analysts believe that the amount of 500 million US Dollars that Sudan will receive as a central bank deposit from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) would go unheeded into the pockets of influential individuals in the regime of the NCP. The insatiable pockets of the corrupt elements remain waiting for more stolen money. For any surplus from the begged money would go for waging the civil wars of attrition in Darfur and the two regions. It is noteworthy that In April 2014 the Sudanese government said that the State of Qatar deposited billion dollars in the Central Bank of Sudan, to help strengthen the reserves of foreign exchange. Moreover, it pledged to invest the deposit in the agricultural and real estate fields in Sudan. The headlines in the Middle East Journal said at the time: Qatar deposited billion dollars in the Central Bank of Sudan. http://archive.aawsat.com/details.asp?section=4&article=767022&issueno=12910#.WEr23rKLTIU

It is certain that any amount of money the country acquired and all the efforts of the state of today Sudan are employed by the (NCP) regime in preparation for the protection of Omar al-Bashir and his entourage staying in power stay in power. The remaining of that money would  go as a   grant to the Janjaweed militias currently nicknamed the Rapid Support Force (RSF) that affiliated to the National Intelligence and Security Services (NISS) to the atrocious war everywhere wreaking devastation on the ground and blood shedding and luting property of Sudanese civilians. However, the regime tirelessly works all it could to protect the war criminal génocidaires Omer al-Bashir from the gripping hand of the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague in the Netherlands. All the financial efforts of the Government of Sudan, repression by security forces against opposition and Including the absurd civil wars of attrition are geared for the protection of Omar al-Bashir Thus, everything in Sudan is programmed to protect Omar al-Bashir and nothing else.

As the parable goes, Sudan’s foreign debt remains unruly and illusive to quick fixes and as well sticking point obstacle to any solution.

The real factors for the deterioration of the living conditions of the Sudanese people in the era of the regime of the National Congress Party (NCP) centred on the existence of the regime and the difficulty of its removal for so long a time.

Sudan under the rule of the (NCP) regime continued a Pariah state missed the opportunity of debit relief initiative for poor countries heavily indebted by foreign debits. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has initiatives to exempt the poor and those in a position to repay the debt. Although Sudan is one of those countries eligible to benefit from the special exemption, unfortunately, it lost that opportunity and not allowed to be one of those countries. That is attributed to the political decision following the 1993 Declaration of the United States of America that Sudan sponsored terrorism, and which resulted in making all delegates of the US in international institutions and organizations stood firmly against Sudan and preventing it benefiting from entering the World trade Organization and the Security Council as well as international economic organizations. The net total of Sudan’s foreign debt amounted to 45 Billion US Dollars that continued exponentially increasing through annual interests. Despite the huge debts of the regime led by Omer al-Bashir continues to spend lavishly, along with the institutional corruption ingrained within the Khartoum branch of the International Muslim Brotherhood Movement (MBM) and in addition to the limitless expenditure on waging absurd civil wars of attrition to the point of bankruptcy. Lavish expenditure and corruption consumed the revenues of the rest of the oil after the secession of southern Sudan along to the revenues from the Aariyab gold from the area, which is located in northeastern Sudan, areas of the Beja tribal group. This makes the regime selling the productive state property to bridge the fiscal deficit versus affluence illegal enrichment for influential members of the ruling National Congress Party regime. The regime burdened the poverty stricken disenfranchised Sudanese citizen with royalties and levies. To deceive the citizen, the regime raises the prices of essential commodities and claiming that it removed the subsidies. It is noteworthy that there was no such a thing called subsidies to commodities. It is nothing but a political lie to cover-up the chronic government failures as well as systematic bag of lies.

It is noteworthy that the visit of the National Congress Party (NCP) President Omer Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) came amid popular unrest and civil disobedience in Sudan following the government decision to lift oil, electricity and drug subsidy along with floating the rate of the Sudanese pound against the US Dollar. Moreover, the result was a rise in commodity prices and the rise in drug prices by as much as 300 percent.  The Civil disobedience is for the sake of the Sudanese citizens and their home. The dictator Omar al-Bashir’s regime will fall and Sudan will remain free and independent. The experiment of the Islamist rule announced by the ruling regime of the Muslim Brotherhood in Sudan has abjectly failed, as in many other countries in the world and has come to a standstill. The consequences of that regime to Sudan constituted insecurity, the spread of corruption, rising of commodity prices, collapse of health services, education, and continuing of the absurd civil wars of attrition.

The underlying causes of the downfall of the Sudanese currency are multifactorial. They include on top of which the civil wars of attrition waged by the (NCP) regime in the Darfur region since 2003, renewed warfare in South Kordofan – Nuba Mountains and in Ingasana in South Blue Nile. The lavish expenditure by the influential ruling National Congress Party (NCP) political leaders added burden on the budget. The institutionalized corruption within the government of Omar Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir and his clan and entourage continued ripping the country off resources. One should not forget the effects of Sudan’s cumulative debt to the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. As a consequence of the foregoing factors he U.S. dollar exchange rate went up in banks to 15.8 Sudanese Pound (SDG)  compared to the official Central Bank of Sudan rate of 6.5 SDG.

Moreover, of the main causes of economic deterioration in Sudan include, among many others factors, the ruling regime of the NCP has dispensed with the production sources of Sudan, such as El-Gezira irrigated Agricultural Project, sale of Sudan Airways – Sudanair – and Sudan Shipping Line Co. Ltd that provided maritime transportation services in the past and along with the Sudan Railways. The foregoing combined with the weakness of the country’s exports led to poverty of the country and impoverishment of the people in it.

It became in the circumstances onus on the people of Sudan to resume their Civil Disobedience for which they identified Monday 19 December 2016. This date coincides with and marks the 61st Anniversary of the Day when the representatives of Sudanese people declared the Independence of Sudan from within the Parliament on Monday 19, December 1955. That date has great meaning to the people of Sudan when they became independent from the clutches of the Anglo-Egyptian Condominium colonisation, which extended from 1899 to 1955.

This Parasitic savage capitalism under the auspices of the rule of political Islam in Sudan in the global Masonic era of the Muslim Brotherhood Movement (MBM) their only motive is how best grabbing money and power through pillage and plunder. The people of Sudan have learnt the lesson the hard way over the 27 lean years of the reign of this devilish entity known as National Islamic Front (NIF) /National Congress Party (NCP)/ Popular Congress Party  (PCP).

the citizens  of Sudan are  kind truthful people and among the best in the world and as a result of their unfortunate enough confidence and blind belief in religious preaching issued by sheikhs, regardless of their sincerity, they fell in the trap of the infamous preaching of the then National Islamic Front  (NIF). The irony is that the regime of the NCP has decided after the passage of  27 lean years of arbitrary corrupt regime led by the genocidal criminal Omer al-Bashir to reduce the  Government spending. The regime is reported to have pledged reducing government expenditure by 50 percent and to reduce the missions to embassies abroad and to reduce this and that at a very late kind of measures that do not serve any Sudanese individual  but only for a cheap publicity! The irreparable damage has already been done beyond repair. Therefore, the Second Civil disobedience begins on Monday, December 19, 2016 under the slogan of our right to free treatment and free education and a dignified existence and a fair division of power and wealth in Sudan and freedom of opinion. Freedom is the uncompromising right. The battle of liberation from the grip of the ruling gang is a national duty. Omar al-Bashir’s authority is the authority, which came on the ruins of the usurped democratic system regardless of what was said about its shortcomings and cons of the leaders at the time of the ill-fated Military coup by the National Islamic Front (NIF) 27 years ago. However, change is coming inevitably. The people of Sudan would decide the Democratic Alternative and not restricted to the so-called ‘National Figures or the political elites as in the previous eras.

I conclude this article by referring to the news media item indicating that the (NCP) regime is in the process of signing a deal with the Russian governments on Wednesday 7th December 2016 on the use of nuclear energy in Sudan. The question that imposes itself at the moment is what is the difference between the Russian Nuclear Energy for the NCP regime and the Russian made and supplied Antonov and Sukhoi fighter bomber planes that used by Omer al-Bashir to commit the heinous crimes of war, crimes against humanity and genocide in Darfur? http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article61055  It seems as though NCP regime after the Chemical weapon warfare in the Darfur region heading to nuclear energy for more lethal weaponry for genocidal atrocities and the “Final Solution” exema Holocaust!

The survivors of genocide among the people of Sudan in the Darfur Region would say No dialogue with the criminal regime of the NCP, but dialogue arrangements for the departure of al-Bashir and his regime from power.

Benjamin Franklin, one of the Founding Fathers of the United States of America and the renowned polymath and a leading author, printer, political theorist,, was quoted as saying: (Rebellion against tyrants is obedience to God.). https://www.google.co.uk/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=Benjamin+Franklin

Dr. Mahmoud A. Suleiman is an author, columnist and a blogger. His blog is https://thussudan.wordpress.com/

The Sudanese Civil Disobedience is an exemplary model for inevitable political Change

The Sudanese Civil Disobedience is an exemplary model for inevitable political Change

By Mahmoud A. Suleiman

Change is afoot despite NCP regime’s oppression, Civil Disobedience exemplary model par excellence

According to Gene Sharp of Albert Einstein Institution in his masterpiece book from Dictatorship to Democracy, he quoted Civil Disobedience among the 198 Methods of Nonviolent Actions. The details of this documented in volume two of The Politics of Nonviolent Action as the Action number 141 under title of. Civil disobedience of “illegitimate” laws. http://www.aeinstein.org/nonviolentaction/198-methods-of-nonviolent-action/

Wikipedia the Free Encyclopedia defines civil disobedience as active, professed refusal to obey certain laws, demands, and commands of a government, or of an occupying international power.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_disobedience.

Al Jazeera News reported that the people in Sudan are protesting against unprecedented price hikes and fuel subsidy cuts and questioned as to whether their civil disobedience would work?

Will civil disobedience work in Sudan? http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/insidestory/2016/11/civil-disobedience-work-sudan-161130180708687.html

 

Al Jazeera quoted a human rights activist in Sudan as saying, “Everything is bad,” while describing life in the country. Furthermore, it added saying that President Omar al-Bashir has raised fuel prices across the country to curb inflation. Medicine and electricity costs have been on the rise for the past few years and people say they are fed up. Many have launched a civil disobedience campaign. Most of Sudan’s opposition parties have supported the civil disobedience protest, demanding President Omer al-Bashir to step down. Nevertheless, the government has responded by arresting more than a dozen activists and shutting down local media. Neighbourhoods across the capital Khartoum and other cities were said to be quiet as people boycotted shops and schools. http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/insidestory/2016/11/civil-disobedience-work-sudan-161130180708687.html

Many political analysts considered the success of the three-day Sunday 27 November -30, November 2016 Civil Disobedience  will motivate the Sudanese people to participate in further steps against this tyrannical genocidal regime that has ruined the country and impoverished and killed its citizens.

The success of civil disobedience of the Sudanese people is shown by refusal of the public to listen to the calls of security device of the NCP regime. The so-called National Intelligence and Security Service (NISS) tried calling for trickery on the citizens to come out of their homes to protest with a hidden intention to open fire at them in the pattern of shoot to kill as happened in September 2013 uprising when the government allied militias and snipers of the regime killed more than 200 people in cold blood. This time the regime failed to fail the acumen of the Sudanese people.

Smart phone success

Smart mobile phone has been the game changer by using social media of twitter, face book, viber, WhatsApp and so on making the way for the anonymous youth to make Civil Disobedience a success!

Civil disobedience has many faces and multiple means of configuration and persuasion and implementation. According to Gene Sharp’s book, From Dictatorship to Democracy peaceful overthrow of repressive regimes involves the following:

  • Strike action
  • Stopping work performance for those who were forced to attend
  • Sit at home and never go out unless necessary
  • Raise of symbolic slogans of resistance
  • Awareness leaflets
  • Writing in the Newspapers, if possible
  • Data distribution
  • Solidarity with the parties resisting peacefully
  • Talk through the means of social communication – Talk via social media
  • Publish videos in the same media containing songs, poems or sayings
  • Raising flages indicating resistance without violence of the totalitarian regime
  • Upload pictures symbolizing resistance, such as images of the martyrs
  • Issuing statements of parallel bodies of the organisations

In this widow of opportunity, we salute the young people of our Great nation of Sudan, which the National Congress Party (NCP) regime elements tried over the lean years of their rule to dwarf this giant country by the old outmoded obsolete tactics. We salute those who took civil disobedience logo to the ground, and scored a success, which i s unparalleled by what all political groups did throughout period of the 27 years of the rule of tyrant Omer al-Bashir and his entourage.

Many of those concerned with the Sudanese cause were worried about the possibility of entering the country Sudan into chaos in the event of a vacuum in the absence of a ready ruling power especially  when the regime of Omar al-Bashir is ousted .And among those concerned is Ustaz Suliman Baldo, the Senior Policy Advisor to the Enough Project worried and said in his argument in the article with concern about the fate of Sudan in the event of a sudden collapse of the State of Sudan, due to one of the three factors. Moreover, he thought the cumulative effects of the war of attrition, the economic crisis or in the event of a health crisis that would suddenly remove President Omer al-Bashir from effective control in the absence of clear succession plan, given the deep structural damage that 27 years of the NCP regime had inflicted on the country. Baldo worried and pessimistically thought there is lack of preparation for an orderly transition would spell further destabilization for Sudan. In other words, Mr. Baldo seems of the opinion that he sees no alternative to rule Sudan in the event of sudden vacuum due to absence of the ruling regime of the NCP. It is unfortunate that the dialectic of the lack of an alternative to the rule of Sudan after the unexpected demise of the regime of the NCP firmly held by NIF/NCP elements remained prevalent amid other Sudanese intellectuals. This concept stems from the successive regimes ruled Sudan since independence in order to make the  ruling Sudan as a monopoly and something privately owned and exclusively for the elite political class, the ethnic roots of which either from the centre in Khartoum or from the Northern Nilotic Sudan. In Sudan, we are sick and tired of the phrase “Alternative” / Democratic Alternative. This phrase remained to be repeated now again and again by political elites to intimidate others from stepping forward for the leadership of the country called Sudan. Furthermore, we the Sudanese also tired of another phrase referred to as “national figures” to fill the political functions of sovereignty. Such trickery takes place while there are members of the general Sudanese public  qualified or more efficient for to take over the leadership of Sudan.

. http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article60981

The talk about possibly feared destabilization for Sudan in case of a collapse of the regime of the National Congress Party (NCP) led by the genocidal criminal, fugitive from the international justice Omer Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir is nothing but a scaremongering. In fact, that the causes of the collapse and fall factors for the (NCP)/(NIF) and its toppling remained embedded in the depth of the ruling regime since the fateful coming 27 lean years ago through military coup d’état on the night of 30th June 1989.

We can say boldly that the reasons for the success of a transitional government which would come after the overthrow and the demise of the ruling regime of the NCP are available and known  for those at the distant and the proximal ones. Furthermore, Transitional Government

This claim does not come from a vacuum, because this regime was part of the regime of Muhammad Jaafar of Nimeiri, so- called the May 25 revolution. The then National Islamic Front (NIF), which is the predecessor for both the nonpartisan National Congress Party (NCP) and the Popular Congress Party (PCP) , was staunch  supporter and partner for the dictatorship of Nimeiri.  Based on the foregoing facts, the Sudanese people and the opposition components both civilian political and armed opposition have taken the lessons from that past and will not be the reason for the failure of the transitional government. The Sudanese political class of the olden times namely National Umma Party (NUP), Sudanese Communist Party (SCP), Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) need to take measures they could to ensure avoiding pugnacity. Pugnaciousness claimed the democratic system in Sudan and opened the doors wide open for three military coups. Military junta regimes carved out 49 years out of the 60 years following independence.   Military coups begin by General Ibrahim Abboud in November 17, 1958 and Nimeiri in 25 May 1969 and Omar al-Bashir in June 30, 1989 to date.

Sometimes one of us would say as to how much today is like yesterday or the day before. This being said when people watch on TV screens Omer Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir watching the rally car race in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as if he were preparing for requesting asylum, as did his ilk Jaafer Numeri seeking refuge in Egypt, a copycat example par excellence! Worse, Bashir would not care/give a fig as long as he is in the United Arab Emirates, where his money in the bank and away from the site of civil disobedience and the site of the conflict.

As to whether the civil disobedience a success in Khartoum, the ready steady answer is the it was a great success by all measures. Witnesses and newspaper reporters have recognized the success of Sudanese civil disobedience. The three-day civil strike was 100 per cent successful, thanks to the role-played by the social media and the public response to the civil disobedience calls. Many observers reported that they did not expect the civil disobedience action of the three day to be that successful. It remains to be reiterated that social media played an active role to attract a large response among the citizens in the three towns Sudanese Capital Khartoum.

Martin Luther King, Jr who was one of the pivotal leaders of the American civil rights movement and his efforts led to the 1963 March on Washington, where King delivered his “I Have a Dream” speech is quoted as said” “One has a moral responsibility to disobey unjust laws.”. http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/tag/civil-disobedience

Dr. Mahmoud A. Suleiman is an author, columnist and a blogger. His blog is https://thussudan.wordpress.com/